Brian's Musings
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    • Brian's 2020 Newlsetters >
      • 28th June 2020 – Mulling a Covid Afterlife
      • 31st May 2020 - Unlocking your mind while in Lockdown
      • 19th April, 2020 – More stimulants for lockdown contemplation
      • 3rd April 2020 - PLanning Ahead in a Time of Plague
      • 19th March 2020 – More to Mull on in Splendid Isolation
      • 24th February, 2020 - The Corona Virus and Much More
      • 24th January 2020 - What changes likely in the new year?
    • Brian's 2019 Newsletters >
      • 23rd November 2019 - Another fascinating mix from around the world
      • 30th October 2019 - Where are we headed now?
      • 10th October 2019 - Another tour of the issues
      • 27th August 2019 -Brighter than usual
      • 2nd August 2019 - Mostly more gloom and doom
      • 5th July 2019 - Not much improvement anywhere
      • 19th June 2019 - Better late than neverNew Page
      • 27th April 2019 - More to make you think about the future
      • April 2019 Letters to the Editor of Business Day
      • 2nd April 2019 - Another Month of Mixed News
      • 27th February 2019 - More good news than bad
      • 4th February 2019 - Trying to make sense of it all
    • 2018 >
      • 29th December 2018 - Preparing for 2019
      • 3th November 2018 - Death by Hot Air and Other Cautionary Tales
      • 26th October 2018 – The Case of the Treacherous Till Slip and Other Interesting Tales
      • October 2018 - Feedback on Draft Integrated Resource Plan for South Africa
      • 21st September 2018 - The Information Flow Continues
      • 31st August 2018 - Reading for the first weekend of spring / autumn
      • 31st July 2018 - Watching the World
      • 13th July 2018 - Energy Update 2018
      • 31st May 2018 - Grime and Punishment
      • 20th April, 2018 - The Equaliser Conspiracy
      • 3rd April, 2018 - More Fascinating Facts and Figures
      • 28th February, 2018 - World Update
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      • 29th November 2017 - Guessing Our Future
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      • 3rd July 2017 - Another Energy Update
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      • 12th April 2017 - False News Today
      • 22nd March 2017 - Predicting Speed of Change
      • 27th February 2017 - Growing Inequality
      • 11th January 2017 - Medical Data Mining
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      • 4th July 2016 – An Eye to the Future
      • 10th June 2016 - Reverse Education
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      • 29th March 2016 – America’s Digital Colonisation of the World
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      • 12th February 2016 – Retirement Reflections
      • 29th January 2016 - Just Four More Years to 2020 >
        • 15th January 2016 - A Taste of Red and White
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An Eye to the Future

An Eye to the Future
 
My younger daughter is an eye doctor. She works in a state of the art ophthalmology practice. When patients arrive for a consultation, they spend the first few minutes in front of a machine which records details of the insides of their eyes.

Juliet's medical training was little different from that of the generations of doctors before her - lectures, dissections and the memorisation of tens of thousands of facts about the human condition. For her ophthalmology examination she had to memorise a several hundred page book of photographs alongside descriptions and treatments of all manner of eye conditions. So, when the patient's eye images are sent from the scanning machine to the computer in her office, she is able to make a diagnosis.

Now, if the makers of the scanning machines are worth their salt, they will have arranged for images and diagnoses from their products everywhere in the world to be sent back to headquarters. The massive rise in computing power has triggered the development of image recognition software. Soon the machines will be able to do a better job of viewing the images and doing a diagnosis than an ophthalmologist with years of experience.

Led on by the exercise regimes of the healthy, new wearable diagnostic products arrive on the market every week. The companies producing the best of these are snapped up by Google, Facebook and Microsoft who will soon become the leading vendors of medical diagnostic equipment. It's not too difficult to imagine focusing a cell phone camera on the eye and getting a free diagnosis before too long. The only question is whether the drug companies won't be paying for their products to be preferentially recommended; after all someone has to pay for the new free service. Then too, if it's new glasses you need, you can just print out a new set of lenses on the 3D printer in your study and slot them into your frames.

I also found myself wondering why ophthalmologists need to have so much detailed information in order to do an eye operation. You would have thought the skills of a precision lathe operator or the steady hand of a lowly watchmaker would be more appropriate. Maybe we need to go back to the demarcation of the Middle Ages where physicians healed and barbers butchered!
 
Of course medical practitioners will fight this future tooth and nail. However for poor countries it provides the opportunity to deliver a first class medical diagnosis system for all without incurring the huge costs of replicating the national health services of Britain or Canada. As well as big brother watching, big sister will be constantly monitoring and making appropriate interventions!

So what should Juliet do with a working life of 35 or more years ahead of her? Stay where she is and be eased out by machines doing a better job than her? Moving to eye surgery wouldn't help as the robots are fast intruding there. She could use her energy and skills working for the software and robotics companies. Better still she could play a role in implementing a 21st century medical system unique to Africa; unfortunately the health authorities probably have their thinking firmly rooted in the outdated past and present. Or she could do something completely different....
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  • Home
  • Brian's Blog
  • Musings
    • Brian's 2020 Newlsetters >
      • 28th June 2020 – Mulling a Covid Afterlife
      • 31st May 2020 - Unlocking your mind while in Lockdown
      • 19th April, 2020 – More stimulants for lockdown contemplation
      • 3rd April 2020 - PLanning Ahead in a Time of Plague
      • 19th March 2020 – More to Mull on in Splendid Isolation
      • 24th February, 2020 - The Corona Virus and Much More
      • 24th January 2020 - What changes likely in the new year?
    • Brian's 2019 Newsletters >
      • 23rd November 2019 - Another fascinating mix from around the world
      • 30th October 2019 - Where are we headed now?
      • 10th October 2019 - Another tour of the issues
      • 27th August 2019 -Brighter than usual
      • 2nd August 2019 - Mostly more gloom and doom
      • 5th July 2019 - Not much improvement anywhere
      • 19th June 2019 - Better late than neverNew Page
      • 27th April 2019 - More to make you think about the future
      • April 2019 Letters to the Editor of Business Day
      • 2nd April 2019 - Another Month of Mixed News
      • 27th February 2019 - More good news than bad
      • 4th February 2019 - Trying to make sense of it all
    • 2018 >
      • 29th December 2018 - Preparing for 2019
      • 3th November 2018 - Death by Hot Air and Other Cautionary Tales
      • 26th October 2018 – The Case of the Treacherous Till Slip and Other Interesting Tales
      • October 2018 - Feedback on Draft Integrated Resource Plan for South Africa
      • 21st September 2018 - The Information Flow Continues
      • 31st August 2018 - Reading for the first weekend of spring / autumn
      • 31st July 2018 - Watching the World
      • 13th July 2018 - Energy Update 2018
      • 31st May 2018 - Grime and Punishment
      • 20th April, 2018 - The Equaliser Conspiracy
      • 3rd April, 2018 - More Fascinating Facts and Figures
      • 28th February, 2018 - World Update
    • 2017 >
      • 29th November 2017 - Guessing Our Future
      • 29th July 2017 – Basic Income Grant
      • 26th July 2017 – Ideas for a Brighter South Africa
      • 3rd July 2017 - Another Energy Update
      • 8th May 2017 – Trucking and Selling
      • 12th April 2017 - False News Today
      • 22nd March 2017 - Predicting Speed of Change
      • 27th February 2017 - Growing Inequality
      • 11th January 2017 - Medical Data Mining
    • 2016 >
      • 13th December 2016 - American Irony
      • 25th November 2016 - Global Decision Making
      • 30th October 2016 - Climate Changes
      • 11th October 2016 - Musing Investments
      • 19th September 2016 - The Inexorable Five
      • 2nd September 2016 - Driving Forward
      • 17th August 2016 - Innovationv Update
      • 19th July 2016 - Powering Along
      • 4th July 2016 – An Eye to the Future
      • 10th June 2016 - Reverse Education
      • 20th May 2016 - More Minding P's and Q's
      • 5th May 2016 - A Leisurely Future
      • 17th April 2016 - More Food for Thought
      • 29th March 2016 – America’s Digital Colonisation of the World
      • 11th March 2016 - Measuring Life
      • 26th February 2016 - Growing Older, Growing More
      • 12th February 2016 – Retirement Reflections
      • 29th January 2016 - Just Four More Years to 2020 >
        • 15th January 2016 - A Taste of Red and White
  • Books